Here's my prediction for the electoral college: Obama, 281; Romney, 257. On the popular vote, I'll take Obama 50.1%, Romney 49%. Reader(s)™ please feel free to share your predictions in the comments.
The FiveThirtyEight blog currently predicts that Obama will get 307.2 electoral votes and 50.6% of the vote. I'll take the under on the electoral college.
My state-by-state map: